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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. chemgator

    chemgator GC Hall of Fame

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    Some useful information about when to tell your Covid-19 tester that they have gone far enough up your nose. Answer: when your brain fluid leaks out.

    A woman's brain fluid leaked into her nose after getting a nasal COVID-19 test

    I would definitely check the length of their probe before they started and say something if it was more than like 15" long.
     
  2. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    i am dr. fauci and i approve this post....
     
  3. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

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    Good news. Really hoping this thing doesn’t flare back up in the winter.
     
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  4. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Uh oh...Hope Hicks is contagious. She may have killed the two candidates.
     
  5. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    We should downplay it with Trump. Wouldn't want to cause a panic.
     
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  6. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    She'll be fine by Easter
     
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  7. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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  8. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    That seems a pretty reasonable way of counting covid deaths.
     
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  9. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    I guess you missed the Medical Examiner weighing in...

    upload_2020-10-2_10-14-2.png
     
  10. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    Image isn't showing, were you quoting something from the article?
     
  11. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    "You think the number they list for Milwaukee County in terms of total COVID deaths is inaccurate?" WISN 12 News reporter asked Milwaukee Chief Medical Examiner Dr. Brian Peterson.

    "Yeah, it's too high," Peterson said.

    This is from the Chief Medical Examiner, who would definitely know.
     
  12. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    Here is another quote from the article for anyone following along at home:
     
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  13. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    Can't be true. Alex Jones swears skydiving deaths are counted as COVID.
     
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  14. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    The count isn't dropping. At the risk of trying to explain what a 7-day moving average is again, the 7-day moving average of cases (using the world-o-meter data) bottomed out on September 12, 5 days after Labor Day, at 35,517. Since then, it has increased to 42,952 per day. That is a 21% increase in daily count.

    You can't use monthly level data to analyze the impact of an event that happened in the month, because you would have observations from both before and after the event in the same data point.
     
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  15. studegator

    studegator GC Legend

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    Masks do not restrict oxygen flow or cause CO2 buildup, study finds
    Masks do not restrict oxygen flow or cause CO2 buildup, study finds

    Contrary to viral claims, wearing surgical masks or cloth face coverings does not restrict the amount of oxygen a person breathes in, nor does it cause a dangerous buildup of carbon dioxide, according to a study published Friday in the journal Annals of the American Thoracic Society.
    The study, though small, should help to further ease fears that masks are somehow physically harmful when, indeed, experts say mask use is by far one of the most effective ways to curb the spread of the coronavirus.
    The study of masks' impact on lung function was inspired, researchers said, by a group of West Palm Beach, Florida, residents who expressed anger at a commissioners meeting in late June when local leaders ultimately voted to mandate masks.

    Some residents argued against the order, suggesting that wearing masks could lead people to inhale too much carbon dioxide. At least one other resident said without evidence that masks were "literally killing people."
     
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  16. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    question for those doing the rolling 7 and 14 day averages for new cases, deaths, hospitalization, etc. when did you start, did you take the first 7 or 14 days in, say march and start, or did you start with a later day, just curious.
     
  17. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    Rolling average should be the newest data point and the previous n-1 units. If doing a 7-day rolling average, the newest day and the previous 6 days averaged together.
     
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  18. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    my question was on what day were these' started? did the 7 day go from march 1to 7, then 2 to 8 then 3 to 9 etc, and did the 14 day go from march 1 to 14, then 2 to 15, then 3 to 16 up until yesterday, there has to be a start day.
     
  19. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    The start day is the most recent day. Then we go back until we have 7 days of data. Or 14, or whatever the time period is.
     
  20. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    so if you have no date that actually started theses averages, how do you know what they were in march, april, may, etc . just saying go back 7 or 14 day. how can you say we are worse off now than 6 weeks ago when you do not go back there. it is so much easier to start on march 1st and work forward than to keep subtracting 7 or 14 days going backward.if you had 42,000 new cases from march 1 to 7, then 41,500 from march 2 to 8, them 41,500 from march 3 to 9, and so forth you can reference what is going on from say sept. 23 to 30.