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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. LouisvilleGator

    LouisvilleGator GC Hall of Fame

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    As of now, with a little over two more hours of reporting to go, there have been 235 deaths nationwide. I realize there is a lag in time between new cases and deaths, but by now, we should be seeing those death numbers rising somewhat substantially based on the new case data and they simply are not.
     
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  2. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    a little over 45,000 new cases today out of about 655,000 tests, deaths were 254 ,lowest since march 23rd, guess next weeks numbers are going to be a little mixed up due to holiday being on a saturday.
     
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  3. G8R8U2

    G8R8U2 GC Hall of Fame

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    Actually, there were 57,718 new cases today, and 661 new deaths. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.
     
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  4. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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  5. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    not familiar with that site, my numbers came off of worldometerr, also,covid19 tracking had 53,000 with 306 deaths, so who knows what to believe anymore.
     
  6. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    another site, , epidemic-stats.com/coronavirus/usa had 44,464 cases and 224 deaths, so I guess we add up 3 or 4 sites and divide the totals by 3 or.4.
     
  7. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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    He posted from the Centers for Disease Control.
     
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  8. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

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    any real reason new cases should vary from just over 44,000 to just under 58,000 and deaths from 224 to 661 among various sites?
     
  9. PITBOSS

    PITBOSS GC Hall of Fame

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    Fla hospitalizations continue to climb. And no cohesive plan from our state or national leaders. Awful.

    BA83BF5F-70B7-43F3-9C94-9199D743D128.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Jul 5, 2020
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  10. GatorGuyDallas

    GatorGuyDallas VIP Member

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    This was inevitable. The daily admissions were a little over 100 about three weeks ago and over 225 a day now. That spiking infection rate suggests hospitalizations will continue to rise.

    Be safe. Be kind. Be responsible. Wear a mask.
     
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  11. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    Yes but when you click "about the data" it tells you that the numbers from state reporting are the most accurate and that the CDC numbers can lag. Worldometer uses those state reporting numbers.
     
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  12. G8R8U2

    G8R8U2 GC Hall of Fame

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    And yet, the CDC numbers were significantly higher, likely meaning more complete; seems obvious the other reporting agencies were not caught up.
     
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  13. gators81

    gators81 Premium Member

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    Reporting is always down on the weekends, I would assume adding the holiday to the equation would mean the reporting would be waaaay down. I’d expect a huge number reported Tuesday that is catching up from the new cases/deaths not logged over the weekend. I’d refrain from calling any numbers this weekend “good news” until averaging them out with Tuesday’s numbers.
     
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  14. slayerxing

    slayerxing GC Hall of Fame

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    It's been the same pattern every weekend for WEEKS now, I don't know why people seem surprised by it every single time at this point.
     
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  15. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Deaths are down 90% since their highs. Sorry, but that’s a positive.
     
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  16. G8R8U2

    G8R8U2 GC Hall of Fame

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    It is since we're getting better at treating it; but it's pointless if you just keep adding cases indefinitely... see maxed out hospitals.
     
  17. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    Are they all reporting the same thing? Date of test sample collected vs date test result was reported? Also, are they reporting total number of cases and tests, or only new cases and tests. People are often tested several times throughout the period that they are infected.
     
  18. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

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    That's positive in a different column.

    I think it's a non-factor if your priority is understanding and controlling the spread. If deaths are down from 90% to 80% vs highs next week, that would be bad? If that hypothetical trend progression continued, we'll be below our peak for nine weeks and it would be horrible news.

    All of our government policy should directed at the top of the funnel and minimize cases. Our health care system can, in parallel, continue to minimize the fatality rate.

    I would trade a larger fatality rate for a sustained r0 under 1.
     
  19. WarDamnGator

    WarDamnGator GC Hall of Fame

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    LOL ... not familiar with the CDC? Who'd have guessed.

    I was talking to a nurse recently ... there were 3 ICU beds available in her whole county at the time. Said the problem is, once hospitalized, Covid patients can take up an ICU for up to two weeks.
     
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  20. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Arguing against deaths being down 90% is a useless argument for me. Not going to waste my time when people won’t acknowledge the most important metric of all, deaths.
     
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