Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Gator Country Black Friday special!

    Now's a great time to join or renew and get $20 off your annual VIP subscription! LIMITED QUANTITIES -- for details click here.

Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,707
    1,125
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    States can open yet still have the at risk stay home. Everyone doesn't have to stay home to prevent 20% of the population from getting it....

    If the at risk population stays home, how do they get infected?

    If they don't I guess that's on them. Unless you want armed troops locking them at home...
     
  2. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

    12,140
    1,152
    1,618
    Apr 9, 2007
    Simple. All someone from the at risk population needs is contact from the "outside" world from someone who is infected. Take nursing homes, for example. The residents may never leave and no visitors allowed, but the staff doesn't live there, and comes and goes daily. You can do things like take the temperature of every staff person entering, but with COVID-19 being communicable 7 - 10 days before any symptoms manifest, there's a chance someone with the disease who works at a nursing home can be asymptomatic, work a shift, infect one person, and then the disease spreads throughout the entire home.

    The more people the nursing home employee comes into contact with, the higher the risk for the nursing home residents. The more people who come into contact with the people who interact with the nursing home employee, again, the higher the risk. Say, for example, the nursing home employee has school-age children. Right now, those kids are sheltering at home. But if they go back to school in the fall, they come into contact with all their classmates, teachers, custodial and kitchen staff, etc. The higher the risk one of the kids brings the disease back home, infects the parent, who goes to work in the nursing home, and then the at risk population, which hasn't left the building in months, get sick.

    Then there's also the case of the at risk living with someone who is not. Say, for example, Grandma lives in a house with her kids and three, school-age grandkids. Those kids go back to school, and Grandma's risk of getting COVID increases, even if she herself, never leaves the house.

    We've seen examples of this in New York. 60% of the people hospitalized caught the disease at home. This was likely due to a family member who had to go out in the public got sick, and bought COVID into the house. There's also a risk of a delivery person being sick and the disease passing this way.

    Maybe if we all take precautions like wearing masks and avoiding places with large crowds, we can start to open up. But just saying the most at risk should simply stay home and think this will help is naive, and won't help.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  3. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

    14,463
    6,324
    3,353
    Dec 11, 2009
    Did I not read that more than 50% of the US population fits into the "High-Risk" category due to 1 or more co-morbidity factor? How would we support 50% of the population staying at home??
     
  4. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

    15,716
    26,020
    3,363
    Aug 6, 2008
    Tampa
    Coronavirus whistleblower Rick Bright's complaint shows high likelihood of 'wrongdoing,' watchdog says
     
  5. OaktownGator

    OaktownGator Guardian of the GC Galaxy

    Apr 3, 2007
    • Winner Winner x 2
  6. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

    17,730
    1,789
    1,718
    Apr 8, 2007
    The Curious Case of the People Who Want to "Reopen" America—But Not Wear Masks - The Bulwark

     
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,707
    1,125
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    I certainly agree WRT the nursing home situations. I don't think the nursing home did enough to prevent it from getting in there, some are criminal about it.
    People who live with elders are also an issue.

    I don't think the rest of the world who aren't in close contact with at risk people need to stay on lockdown for the next year. Go out be safe and smart. Not saying open movie theaters etc. It doesn't have to be an all or nothing. In my area I have never really seen the oldest avoid going out. Home Depot/Lowes weren't emergency stops when I see them buying paint and flowers..

    The goal was flatten the curve, not prevent everyone from getting it.
     
  8. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,707
    1,125
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    It's easier to support some segment then the entire population.
    Plus many of the at risk are over 65 and on SS, so they are already supported. Certainly some still work. Does the GOV need to give everyone 2000 a month for a year? I don't think so.

    Also the stimulus should have only gone to people who were working and not retired people who had NO IMPACT on their income.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  9. swampbabe

    swampbabe GC Hall of Fame

    3,701
    929
    2,643
    Apr 8, 2007
    Viera, FL
    I’m gonna be honest here, I go back and forth in my own mind about opening up and staying locked down. At this point, I’m on the “cautiously” open team. Personally, I’m as tired of this as anyone else and I certainly understand trepidation regarding at risk populations.

    Yesterday I went to the hair salon for a haircut and the salon took precautions that I was comfortable with. The vast majority of patrons, according to my hairdresser, were 75 and over. WTH??? I’m shutting down to protect you and you won’t protect yourself?

    Keep ramping up testing, wear a mask, and wash your damn hands.
     
    • Like Like x 4
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Winner Winner x 2
  10. OaktownGator

    OaktownGator Guardian of the GC Galaxy

    Apr 3, 2007
    All of this. Open where it makes sense. Keep track of what's going on and tighten up where/when you need to.

    There shouldn't be an us vs them in this whole thing.
     
    • Agree Agree x 5
    • Like Like x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  11. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

    7,803
    861
    2,113
    Apr 3, 2007
    upload_2020-5-14_12-25-26.png

    Good news.
     
    • Like Like x 3
  12. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

    9,064
    2,040
    3,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    Bottom of a pint glass
    Great news. The unknown is how much of they was from the social distancing and stay at home orders, and how much was the virus running its course. Obviously we all hope for the latter
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  13. gator7_5

    gator7_5 GC Hall of Fame

    11,695
    265
    663
    Apr 9, 2007
    Valid point, but most healthy people over 75 have been through worse and aren't scared of covid.
     
  14. swampbabe

    swampbabe GC Hall of Fame

    3,701
    929
    2,643
    Apr 8, 2007
    Viera, FL
    They didn’t look all that healthy to me.
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
  15. homer

    homer GC Hall of Fame

    2,689
    839
    2,078
    Nov 2, 2015
    I’ve witnessed it too. Many older people are out and about like nothing has changed.

    The other half are scared, staying home, or covering up when they go out.

    Short of threatening people with arrest for going out, I don’t think there’s any way to keep people at home. The authorities are not going to arrest people only to place them in a facility together, defeating the purpose of distancing. Any that do are idiots.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  16. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

    14,289
    5,285
    3,208
    Nov 25, 2017
    And slow growth until treatments and vaccines are found
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  17. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,707
    1,125
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    Which may not be for a year.
    I know many talking heads are saying a vaccine in the fall..... That is a very tall order just due to the logistics and timing needed to observe subjects for safety signals and for efficacy for a vaccine.

    Treatment trials can get data much faster.
    I think the need to quickly look at the effect of various treatments on positive cases very early in disease state. If Remdesivir decreases viral load and viral shedding then people should get it sooner. That should lower morbidity and lower transmission rates just like Tamiflu does for the seasonal flu.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  18. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

    11,707
    1,125
    698
    Sep 5, 2010
    East Coast of FL
    I'm for open and be smart.
    I'm 51 and have no medical issues, yet I'm being more cautious about touching things when I'm out and really have only been in Home Depot due to a bathroom remodel.
    Been getting carry out and have eaten out 2-3 times since opened back up. (Wife was cabin feverish).

    No desire to go to the mall(that's my baseline anyway).


    I still have told my Dad and Step mother to stay home 77 and 81.
    As well as my Mom 76 (bad COPD).

    I tell my patients the same only go to needed Dr appointments and only one of family go to store. (They most listen).
     
  19. G8R8U2

    G8R8U2 GC Hall of Fame

    2,125
    27
    293
    Apr 12, 2007
    • Agree Agree x 1
  20. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

    32,088
    54,981
    3,753
    Apr 8, 2007
    northern MN