I dont know. Places opening that havent been hard hit makes sense. My city has zero cases in the area hospitals. Zero. Testing is available quickly too. No reason for all my friends to lose their businesses in an area with a relatively meniscal impact. But in hotspot areas we have to be extremely hesitant to jump the gun. Lost of tough decisions followed by very sound containment measures are our road back.
Right now being the operative words. Two weeks, 4 weeks from Jan 21 isn't right now. And citizens not being worried does not equate to authorities shouldn't be scrambling to be prepared for later
IHME | COVID-19 Projections Think they overshot it now the other way, but may be assuming less social distancing.
another good day compared to the last 3 mondays. new cases 24713 compared to 23196,28131,26985 with40000 plus more tests than any other monday. deaths were 1324 compared to 1383,1953,1726.all in all trending the right way
As of today there is not a viable vaccine for SARS which is very similar to COVID-19 so you are correct a life-saving vaccine may never happen since SARS and COVID are very similar.. With SARS they had vaccines which produced the neutralizing antibodies but when the subject in question came in contact with the live virus it created a vaccine-induced enhancement which resulted in death in most cases.
Just another example of information that should be readily available IF people were actively mining our medical records databases. I forget who was asking about this earlier, but there's so much information we are just completely avoiding for some strange reason. Go GATORS! ,WESGATORS
I don't think so. 135k deaths by August seems realistic to me. That would be an average of a little over 700 per day between now and then. If we are averaging around 1500 per day now, that represents a significant reduction. And now that the NYC spike is over, I think it's going to become harder to reduce the daily toll. Plus there will be less distancing. On the positive side, more testing will lead to better intervention and contact tracing. And we are getting better at treating it too. So who knows.
We are still only testing around 250,000 per day. That's a far cry from the 5 million per day Trump claimed we would soon be at.
The only saving grace is unlike nearly every other pandemic save the 2008-2009 H1N1, the entire world is focusing on developing multiple avenues of treatment. If anecdotal evidence of drug combinations like the anti-viral Remdesivir mixed with the cytokine suppressing Actemra prove more effective and less dangerous than hoped, there may be greater ability to absorb the second waver. Also, I would hope the people are planning now to alter procedures at Care facilities. N Carolina has just under 12, 000 confirmed cases as of today. A staggering 30% are at Nursing homes, residential Care facilities and jails. An even more staggering 59% of all deaths in N Carolina (252/430) are in these places. I do not have the answers, but our state could cut the number of dead by at least a third if not in half if there were some way to better protect the most vulnerable. Not saying we can do anything, but surely people a hell of a lot smarter than me are already looking at that for this fall. All I am saying is that I am not arguing with you hypotheses, only trusting that our continued world wide focus on therapeudics, vaccines and fundamental understanding of this virus may help us buck the historical trends this coming fall.
I am thinking, @LouisvilleGator , we can pretty much put this part of the story/conspiracy/campaign rhetoric to sleep. Coronavirus was 'not manmade or genetically modified': U.S. spy agency
I see what you’re saying, but using at taleb’s assessment of the risks above, a community that knows it has no cases should at least close its borders, which might be a tall order.
Irish dig deep to support virus-hit native Americans, repaying 150-year-old debt Irish dig deep to support virus-hit native Americans, repaying 150-year-old debt