Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Gotta throw this out there and yes I am questioning the reported numbers.

How is it that the number of deaths maintains an average daily range upward that is somewhat consistent? Stay with me on this...being as this virus is supposed to be a reckless infection thing, moving through communities without any filters, then how is it that the parameters have consistency.
Why during the past 10 days has there not been 4000 deaths one day and the next 875 followed by 20 and back up to 1800? Seems to me that a random virus with no controls should also not be able to have consistent measurable quantities either.
I am speaking of the entire USA not a localized demographic. Just seems the numbers arent very credible.

 

You think someone is simply making them up?

 

Allow me to ask, do you doubt the numbers because it conflicts with your view or because you don't understand the noise?

If it's the former, ask yourself why it's important for you that the numbers are being manipulated.

If it's the latter, let's play a game. What factors can you identify that would result in the variation? Throw some ideas out there.

If you are unwilling to engage in the game, I assume you don't actually want to understand.

 

Holy crap! Engage in what game? I question the numbers and I question how a consistent trend can happen with an inconsistent virus.
Its actually an interesting look at something that may take thought to explain.

 

Do you have an explanation as to why there is a consistent trend?

 

I'm not a statistician but i'd guess it's the size of the sample. If it were one small area, the numbers would vary more. But when you're looking at a sample size of the United States, it'd tend to even out. If it rises one place, it drops another.
Again, that's my guess. There are probably others here who might have better insight.

 

Because our social distancing efforts are working and we are slowing the spread?

 

More than 2,200 have died of coronavirus inside nursing homes but feds aren’t tracking the numbers: report

 

Been reading reports that trash pickup companies (for houses) are getting overwhelmed. I realize people are eating at home a lot more, but that really doesn't generate that much waste. Is everyone just doing a hell of a lot of spring cleaning? We are doing a bunch of yard work but I take truckloads of that waste to a vegetation site.
My family of four (sometimes five) fill up about half a rolling trashcan a week, that hasn't really changed. We do recycle.

 

nope.

 

Socratic questioning is not for everyone, apparently.

Can you come up with any reason that the numbers might vary? Put aside any preconceived notions and think about this as if complex weather systems are being tracked across regions, governments and disparate technologies.

I can come up with five possibilities right off the top of my head. Can you come up with 1?

 

I have a cousin in NJ who drives a truck for Republic Services(garbage) and he posted this the other day.


He also posts daily about garbage trucks accidents and deaths that happen around the country. Dangerous job.

 

I can come up with 10 but none would explain how an supposedly out of control virus with no manmade boundaries can trend in a common parameter.
Supposedly the virus and infection isnt programmed to kill all. Isnt programmed to kill a set quantity. Isnt set on a schedule. In other words...Why hasnt the death rate been as inconsistent as the virus itself?

 

Let's hear your 10, then.

 

Nasty. More garbage combined with fewer workers at the pickup company? Downstream logistics for NY maybe?

Our company used to take three yardbags or three bundles per week but they stopped that (I assume temporarily).

 

IDK but with stay at home orders if you are sick, I would think they have a manpower problem. Coming in contact with garbage you would think sanitation workers have a higher rate of infection than most other professions.

 

Or they have a super strong immune system from constant exposure and micro-doses of bad stuff.

 

Then they are just lazy bastards taking advantage of the system

 

I have a guess that with the entire nation now infected that numbers of new deaths pretty much aligns across the entire infected population of the country? So, it is a pretty constant death rate now that all stated have seen infections for more than 3 weeks now.