It's best to assume roughly 20% are hospitalized from this point on. Although that number can fluctuate depending on demographics. Some states have a younger population than others.
I have a genetics related question. One would expect that different virus cells of a virus type would have varying degrees of strength. Selection would favor those viruses that do not kill the host. Can we anticipate fewer deaths because of a weakening of the virus? Is this possible in the near term?
Looking possible we may have peaked or will so in the next few days according to that world site that cuts the 24 hour reporting day off at 8pm eastern for every country but China I think. We had about 700 less new cases than yesterday and had the 2nd day in a row (the more valid reality number imo) with less daily death cases than the day that proceeded them which is the daily high as of now.
Zero hospitalizations for COVID-19 in California? Am I missing something very, very obvious. Is this the same source that was pinned? If so, it should be removed.
yep. The dance was March 10th - just about when everyone began hearing to avoid one another. Now someone in her house is positive too along with another county resident. We have 3 confirmed cases now. All in isolation in our teeny hospital.
That world site everyone uses - they are recorded for those charts at 8 pm eastern. Coronavirus Update (Live): 306,677 Cases and 13,017 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Outbreak - Worldometer The US daily death rate the last 3 days has been 57, 49 and 46.
I don't think so, like the flu there's a specific temperature range it appears to be the most active. Too cold and it doesn't spread well either, which is why IMO the virus is moving north across Europe. We'll see if this is really true because then the UK and the Midwest should be hit hard next and then the global South. As the currently hard-hit regions get better by mid April to May.
We aren't even close to peaking. Take a look here, especially at the daily new cases chart: United States Coronavirus: 25,896 Cases and 316 Deaths - Worldometer At the rate we are going, expect to pass Italy by the end of the week in number of total cases. Italy though has a very high % of elderly and 99% of their deaths are to that demographic. But passing Italy is not the end of the world. Our population is nearly 7x Italy's, so you would expect eventually blowing past their numbers. Italy's death rate is almost 9%, but I don't expect ours to go much above 3.5%. It all depends on if we can stay ahead of the curve. Some areas may get to a point where doctors have to pull the plug on one person to save another if they run out of beds and/or ventilators.
He doesn't fix that for a few hours for today - you have to click US and then click yesterday. He lets it keep adding for a while or it has plug in former numbers or something before he charts everything based on 8pm eastern.
See answer on that above. It may even be around midnight he charts today's cutoff at 8pm but it is what is listed as yesterday.
Since I hit reply it is up to 68 on the main page and says updated today as of 5 minutes ago. When you click on the USA the actual state numbers aren't accurate but the overall is. Yesterday was 256, today is 324. That's 68 today.
With all due respect you need to remove the pinned thread saying there is nobody in the hospital in California, Illinois or Georgia with COVID-19 when all states have numerous deaths.
