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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. mutz87

    mutz87 p=.06 VIP Member

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    You're still not grasping the growing implications.

    Seven days ago, we had 2.2k cases
    Currently we have 18.7k cases
    Next week, it is possible that number jumps to 150k cases
    The following week to 1.3 million cases
    The week after that to 10 million cases

    That is the exponential trajectory we are on. Even if only a small percentage of those cases end up needing hospital beds and ventilators, it can overwhelm the system, especially in places like LA and NYC metro areas where tens of millions of people live.
     
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  2. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    I'm glad we currently don't have a lot of serious cases (assuming this is true). I don't think those numbers will hold very long though.
     
  3. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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    Why. Do. You. Even. Bother?
     
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  4. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Why no shutter in home from Trump? Seems weird to leave it up to individual states. He should just pull trigger on country. No business is getting done. I’d rather everyone shit done for 2-3 weeks versus rolling shutdowns across America.
     
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  5. mutz87

    mutz87 p=.06 VIP Member

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    I know I know. I'm an educator, force of habit. :D
     
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  6. gator_fever

    gator_fever GC Legend

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    I see what is going on and daily deaths will probably peak in 7 to 10 days. The real rate of death will be like the common flu per person infected in the US if they ever guesstimate the real numbers of people having it like they do to give their official flu % death numbers.

     
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  7. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    What source says the number of people killed will peak in 7-10 days?
     
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  8. vaxcardinal

    vaxcardinal GC Hall of Fame

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    Got to give congressman time to sell their stocks before he issues the order
     
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  9. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    As the total number of cases grows exponentially, so will the total number of serious cases and the total deaths. Even if we only reach the 1.3 million case number, that's a factor of nearly 600 times the 2,200 cases we had a week ago. Multiply the 60 serious cases we have today, and this means in two weeks, we could be looking at 36,000 serious cases in the US.

    Most of these would likely be concentrated in the larger cities. But even so, are they ready to handle such an influx of people who need ICU beds with respirators? And what if we reach the 10 million case number, and it's over 350,000 critical cases?
     
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  10. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    His derriere
     
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  11. gator_fever

    gator_fever GC Legend

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    "Gator Fever" is the source that daily deaths for coronavirus in the US will peak no later than 10 days for the U.S. - 3/30/20. Mark it down for review.
     
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  12. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    SO are you saying they will peak 3/30 or 10 days after 3/30 need to know for accuracy
     
  13. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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  14. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    Disagree but noted.
     
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  15. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    FYI:
    when using ratings on posts, "dislike" leaves the poster with a negative rep. "c'mon man" is a neutral(gray) rep
     
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  16. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    I put it in my sig for posterity
     
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  17. gator_fever

    gator_fever GC Legend

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    I am saying in the US sometime in the next 10 days we will get the peak number for daily deaths from coronavirus for a day that they publish on the counter sites.
     
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  18. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    I just figured this out yesterday. That's why I've been slingin' that bacon!!
     
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  19. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise GC Hall of Fame

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    Bacon is also neutral, the only neg rep is dislike
     
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  20. RIP

    RIP I like touchdowns Premium Member

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    What?!? My efforts have been in vain! Noted good sir.
     
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