https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/?fbclid=IwAR3VNSDPY0WGWPAQFh8DrOrhoAaFHKIdvLZ_TwPDWUD8fX81Jada40X5h9Q&itid=hp_hp-banner-low_virus-simulator520pm:homepage/story-ans Really good simulation models
It wouldn't surprise me. This stuff once we have more accurate numbers (if we ever get to that point) will be shown to have a way lower death rate. This stuff isn't nearly as deadly as SARS was - not even in the same ballpark.
Child in Rhode Island Tests Positive for Coronavirus After Getting Autographs From Utah Jazz at Celtics Game We now have concrete evidence as to why one positive coronavirus test in the NBA triggered a league-wide shutdown. A young NBA fan in Rhode Island who attended last week's game between the Utah Jazz and Boston Celtics has contracted the coronavirus. Also, in the past week, he snagged an autograph from one of the two Jazz players who has also tested positive for the illness. We can't guarantee the two are related, but it cannot be ruled out, and serves as a perfect example of the greater danger.
That only holds up as long as you have the capacity to treat those who require hospitalization. Due to exponential growth, resources are likely to be overwhelmed regionally, leading to the death of people who could survive with treatment/ventilators. Not trying to be all doom and gloom, but it's already happening in Italy. So far, the US is seeing the same rate of growth in confirmed cases. Doubling every 2 to 3 days. And we're not even able to test everyone yet. This is why epidemiologists are freaking out.
This stuff is not that bad imo. If the flu isn't overwhelming the system when that outbreak is at its peak in the US then this stuff won't either in the US.
THIS IS NOT THE FLU... The flu doesn't require you be on a ventilator for a week or two. Taking up limited resources. Have you even bothered to read about Italy. The UK has asked Rolls Royce to stop its production of cars and to start producing ventilators.
I hope you're right. Needless to say, those who actually work in medicine aren't so sure you are. Drills And Tents: Local Hospitals Prep For A Surge In COVID-19 Patients
You ever seen people die from the flu up close? I bet they don't look too good at that point. This is a big overreaction. I just hope the hysteria mess starts tailing off in May or June.
I'd hold off on that prediction. I'm fearing we'll see huge spike in cases in US in the coming week. Too many people I know are still hoping it's an overreaction and they're continuing normal social behavior. This just may shut us down like France and now Spain because too many refuse to stay home.
I have seen death up close, it's not pretty and stays with you. But glad I was there so she didn't go alone. Unlike this virus where they all die alone or with a stranger wearing a bio hazard suit.
Always good to prepare but I doubt in the US we ever see some situation from this virus where our medical facilities are unable to handle all the patients.
I agree a big spike for a few weeks and I tend to agree with some of those experts claiming the reported number is nowhere in the ballpark of how many in the US that have actually had this already since it's like a minor cold to most people. I hope we don't keep up the hysteria at this level and get even crazier with some of these shutdowns. Hopefully this is like most of these viruses and maybe the hotter more humid weather will help end this hysteria.
SE Asia (tropical climate) is seeing spikes in cases and deaths and their seasonal temps are in the low 90's. March-June
Flu season is overlapping this outbreak and that season, hopefully same for covid19 ebbs in mid April.
The travel restrictions, group event cancellations, and social distancing should help reduce the transmission of the flu virus as well.
You can still have it but transmission chances go down big time with most viruses with the warmer more humid weather. I would be real surprised if this doesn't follow that pattern for the most part but we may see a delay in the tailing off simply because a bunch of people start to get tested.
Actually the flu does. 90% of patients with COVID-19 aren't on a respirator, only the very ill are. We had a couple dozen at UAB on ventilators due to the flu in 2019. Flu does do it too but usually kills faster than COVID-19. Flu can kill in 72 hours, but COVID-19 takes weeks. But like I said earlier, you don't need a hospital to treat patients. You can setup FEMA M.A.S.H units all over the country. Now that we are coming out of the winter months, AC trailers can be used as ERs.
you can set up all the beds you want, its the equipment that we don't have enough of that is the problem. Monitors, ventilators, biohazard suits and masks. My GF is a nurse at an outpatient surgical center. They are already low on supplies and masks. She told me they are having to reuse single use gowns and masks after they have been sanitized as much as possible just to do every day elective surgeries.
