Kavanaugh Hearing

Senator Coker said that he has been told that Senators will have access to the FBI interviews this afternoon in a secure location.

Leaks will start less than 30 seconds after Senators enter the secure location.

 

QU Poll Release Detail
With a big lift from New Jersey women, U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez, the Democratic incumbent, leads former pharmaceutical executive Bob Hugin, the Republican challenger, 53 - 42 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

 

Well now he is at 47%, so the 45% discussion seems moot.

 

The article is pretty clear that there is significant historical data that undecided voters typically break for the challenger rather than the incumbent. Hence having a 49-43 lead gives a candidate a much better chance to win with only 8% undecided than 44-38 and 18% undecided.

 

That is the first poll that put Menendez above 45% and it is of registered voters, not likely voters that the other RCP polls use. Let's see if it is a trend or an outlier.

 

I would challenge that this is still true. That is based on data from the 1980s and 1990s. Do you think things may have changed a bit since then in terms of how elections are run or how voters tend to react based upon increased partisanship?

Obama was at 48.8% in 2012 as an incumbent (signalling a photo finish according to that post). The undecided people broke for him to an almost 4% victory. Same thing happened in 2004, as I pointed out. Same thing happened in 2016 Senate elections. It seems that things might have changed.

 

That doesn't seem true. From their release:

Now, to be fair, Quinnipiac is known to be rather jumpy in their numbers. They tend to be highly on one side or the other of spectrums (although not terribly biased, they have this result in NJ, the most friendly Cruz results in Texas, and the most friendly Gillum results as well).

 

Is funny that this quote was brought up today and a lot of people had no idea who said it originally and claimed Lindsey Graham was insulting Dr. Ford:

"This is what happens when you go through a trailer park with a $100 bill."

 

Hence why I said I would try and find a more recent article about this topic later tonight.

 

RCP NJ Senate Race page has it as RV, not LV. It could be a typo.

 

Someone please try to tell me she doesn't look like Emperor Palpatine.

 

No, but Brett definitely looks like Stevie from Eastbound and Down.

 

Garth wasn't the face of pure evil and neither is Dana Carvey. Seriously, when she first sat down at the hearing, first thing that came to my head was "goood...goood..let the hate flow through you."

 

While I understand that its language may be a little non-PC for a liberal to post, in the spirit of the thread you really should have found the "I so drunk I feel retarded" Stevie clip.

 

You know what really grinds my gears . . . I keep seeing conservative media members and publications talking about "due process." It's clear those people either know nothing about due process or assume their audience is too ignorant to figure out that they're lying to them. Kavanaugh is entitled to as much or as little "due process" the Senate wants to give him as a nominee. That is how McConnell could get away with giving Garland no process whatsoever.

 

I posted a different gif at first and I think it would have been removed once I realized what it was. It was 'the D is back.'

 

Or posted about the first 40 seconds of this clip:



(NSFW language in clip)